Humans Need Not Apply
TBD
Jerry kaplan
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the question whether machines can think, is as relevant als asking if submarine can swim. better, faster.
unemployment and income inequality, whilst economy grows
unemployment and income inequality, whilst economy grows
field 1, machine learning, or synthetic intellect (no feelings or conciousness), give goal and let learn, field 2, sensors and actuators (robots)
EG GPS forged labour
risks: eg stock market 9% crash
worst outcome, fight between capital and labour, Marx predicted it.both forged labourers and synthetic intelligence
increasing wealth may float al yachts but sink al rowing boats
disrupt industries, but not looking at the carnage
1960, do this, then that. then copies that form neural networks. it works now because of exponential growth
give a machine some data, and you feed it for a millisecond; teach a computer to search, feed it for a millennium
ch2 teaching robots to heel
first dumb dangerous assembly machines, now smarter and with machine perception
performing tasks require resources and capabilities. four categories of resources: energy, awareness, reasoning, means (movement)
robot painters example
other trend, coalesce and simplify – phone = 10+ different things
future will look more like the past. complex, but will look simple
ch3 robotic pickpockets
high frequency trading
synthetic intellect observe broad or subtle patterns
ch4 the gods are angry
cookies, cross reference info
persuasion better done by synthetic intellect
what should they do for us, if you give goal, can take bad road to achieving it
fairness
ch4 the gods are angry
ch5 officer arrest that robot
moral agency, percieve consequences and choose between actions
people, companies and synthetic intellect can be moral agents. autonomous vehicles
principal agent relationship
for the law, no need for human of conciousness. only other 2
punish synthetic with stopping pursuing goal
personhood
personhood
ch6 America, land of the free shipping
Jeff bezos, books sell online, value in data – not inventory
there is no such thing as free shipping, someone always pays
team wins, buy more (expensive) champagne?
personal freedom, but not as collective. controlled by synthetic intellect
see only top of iceberg. you get small benefit (if at all), rest is for the Amazons
ch7 America home of the brave pharohs
author has the good life, but is not even in the 1%
money = power, to divert society’s resources towards matters of personal interest to you
a robust middle-class is not needed for economy to work. Egypt, pyramids.
40% of workforce can be employed by the capital gains of 1%
5% could spend half of retail money
rich, erosion of meaning. everything freely a, nothing has value. separate wealth from day to day, to keep emotional growth
ch8 take this job and automate it
global warming no problem, but the pace is. same with tech change
replaces workers. replace skills, can we adapt?
forged labourers will displace the need for most skilled labour, synthetic intellects will largely supplant the skilled trades of the educated
synthetic intellects need no order (the organised mind book)
cyclical and structural unemployment
ook studenten/scholierenbaantjes verdwijnen (aardbei plukken) vakken vullen?
automation is blind to the colour of your collar. eg law
EG medical Watson
Oxford research, 47% jobs high risk automation, near future
school, focus on vocational training
his idea, job mortgage
ch9 the fix is in
all other things considered, equality of pay is best factor happiness
give jobless money, they do contribute (eg write the book, volunteer work)
today less people work. household income stayed the same
equal division of wealth. taxes higher if less people benefit
ownership in each other (and companies)
jobs? rebalance workers and jobs
outtroduction welcome to your children’s future
language also lacking. frames our thinking
dark factory, synthetic intellects owning themselves
http://www.npr.org/sections/money/2015/05/21/408234543/will-your-job-be-done-by-a-machine